检验波动率变化

Testing for changing volatility

Econometrics Journal · 2017
被引 12
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一种U统计量检验方法,用于检测波动率的结构变化,该检验在零假设下渐近服从标准正态分布,并通过蒙特卡洛实验和实证案例展示了其优越性。

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a consistent U‐statistic test with good sampling properties to detect changes in volatility. We show that the test has a limiting standard normal distribution under the null hypothesis, and that it is powerful compared with various alternatives. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted to highlight the merits of the proposed test relative to other popular tests for structural changes in volatility. An empirical example is examined to demonstrate the practical application of the proposed testing method.

金融计量经济学时间序列分析统计检验波动率建模