宏观经济优先事项再审视:稳定政策的行为基础

Macroeconomic priorities revisited: the behavioural foundations of stabilization policies

Cambridge Journal of Economics · 2017
被引 1
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

指出传统理论低估了宏观经济波动的成本,认为应纳入行为经济学强调的心理成本(如损失厌恶、禀赋效应和享乐适应),并发现经济衰退对弱势群体影响更大,从而为稳定政策提供了行为基础。

Abstract

The theoretical literature that neglects the benefits of stabilization policies (e.g., Lucas 1987, 2003) ultimately relies on the low impact of macroeconomic volatility on aggregate income and consumption. We argue that this conclusion is theoretically and empirically weak. Theoretically, the cost of volatility should be measured by including not only monetary magnitudes, but also those psychological costs whose relevance has been stressed by behavioural economics and that are correlated with the number of unemployment episodes. We refer here to implications for the experienced utility of loss aversion, the endowment effect and hedonic adaptation. Empirically, downturns more severely affect those who have less and who suffer greater well-being losses from each shock, magnifying the negative impact of recessions. It follows that the traditional analysis, which disregards the main causes of well-being losses determined by downturns, cannot represent a sound basis for dismissing policies aimed at preventing downturns (and/or their impact on the labour market).

宏观经济波动稳定化政策行为经济学主观福祉