The Long-Run Effects of Teacher Strikes: Evidence from Argentina
利用阿根廷各省份不同出生队列暴露于教师罢工的差异,发现小学期间经历平均罢工频率会使男性和女性成年后收入分别降低3.2%和1.9%,并导致失业率上升和职业技能水平下降。
We exploit cross-cohort variation in the prevalence of teacher strikes within and across provinces in Argentina to examine how teacher strikes affect student long-run outcomes. Being exposed to the average incidence of strikes during primary school reduces labor earnings of males and females by 3.2% and 1.9%, respectively. A back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests that this amounts to an aggregate annual earnings loss of $2.34 billion. We also find an increase in unemployment and a decline in the skill levels of the occupations into which students sort. These effects are driven, at least in part, by a reduction in educational attainment.