负利率政策与收益率曲线

Negative interest rate policy and the yield curve

Journal of Applied Econometrics · 2020
被引 95 · 同刊同年前 2%
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究了欧洲央行负利率政策对收益率曲线的影响,发现四次负利率事件均等量降低短期利率,但前两次因缺乏前瞻指引,长期影响减弱;后两次因前瞻指引,两年期效果最大。

Abstract

Summary We evaluate the implications of the ECB's negative interest rate policy (NIRP) on the yield curve. To capture various shapes of the short end of the yield curve induced by the NIRP, we introduce two policy indicators, which summarize the immediate and longer horizon future monetary policy stances. We find that the four NIRP events lowered the short‐term interest rate by the same amount. The impact is dampened at longer maturities for the first two event dates, due to lack of forward guidance. By contrast, for the last two dates, forward guidance drives the largest effects in two years.

负利率政策收益率曲线欧洲央行前瞻性指引