残疾保险的代际溢出效应

Intergenerational Spillovers in Disability Insurance

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2021
被引 42
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

利用1993年荷兰政策改革和断点回归设计,发现父母残疾保险资格被削减后,其子女参与残疾保险的概率降低11%,收入提高2%,且教育水平更高、犯罪率更低、心理健康药物使用更少。

Abstract

Using a 1993 Dutch policy reform and a regression discontinuity design, we find children of parents whose disability insurance (DI) eligibility was reduced are 11 percent less likely to participate in DI themselves, do not alter their use of other government programs, and earn 2 percent more as adults. The reduced transfers and increased taxes of children account for 40 percent of the fiscal savings relative to parents in present discounted value terms. Moreover, children of treated parents complete more schooling, have a lower probability of serious criminal arrests and incarceration, and take fewer mental health drugs as adults.

残疾保险代际溢出政策改革断点回归