零利率下限下货币联盟的财政政策

Fiscal Policy in a Currency Union at the Zero Lower Bound

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2019
被引 6
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

构建两国核心-外围新凯恩斯模型,研究货币联盟中针对区域特定负需求冲击的最优财政政策路径,发现零利率下限下联盟整体财政需扩张,外围区域必须扩张,核心区域则视参数而定。

Abstract

Abstract This paper constructs a two‐country core–periphery New Keynesian model of a currency union to address the interaction between the objectives of regionally directed fiscal policy constrained by a single currency and the aggregate use of fiscal policy in face of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on policy interest rates. We identify an optimal path of aggregate and relative fiscal policy responses to a negative region‐specific demand shock. Our results show that (i) in a monetary union, the optimal policy response to an asymmetric reduction in demand concentrated in the periphery always entails a relative shift of fiscal expenditure toward the worse‐affected regions, (ii) though no aggregate fiscal response is required outside the ZLB, and (iii) optimal union‐wide fiscal policy is expansionary at the ZLB. Therefore, optimal policy always entails an expansion in the periphery at the ZLB, but the optimal fiscal response in the core regions can be either expansionary or contractionary depending on the parameters of the model. However, (iv) fiscal expansion in the core is warranted if the periphery cannot implement an expansion due to constraints on public spending.

货币联盟零下限最优财政政策核心-外围模型