极值分布谱测度的最大经验似然估计

Maximum empirical likelihood estimation of the spectral measure of an extreme-value distribution

Annals of Statistics · 2009
被引 59
ABS 4★

中文导读

针对二元极值分布的谱测度,提出一种非参数最大经验似然估计方法,保证满足矩约束,证明渐近正态性,模拟和案例显示性能优于现有方法。

Abstract

Consider a random sample from a bivariate distribution function F in the max-domain of attraction of an extreme-value distribution function G. This G is characterized by two extreme-value indices and a spectral measure, the latter determining the tail dependence structure of F. A major issue in multivariate extreme-value theory is the estimation of the spectral measure Φp with respect to the Lp norm. For every p∈[1, ∞], a nonparametric maximum empirical likelihood estimator is proposed for Φp. The main novelty is that these estimators are guaranteed to satisfy the moment constraints by which spectral measures are characterized. Asymptotic normality of the estimators is proved under conditions that allow for tail independence. Moreover, the conditions are easily verifiable as we demonstrate through a number of theoretical examples. A simulation study shows a substantially improved performance of the new estimators. Two case studies illustrate how to implement the methods in practice.

极值理论非参数统计多元分析尾依赖