New entry, strategic diversity and efficiency in soccer betting markets: the creation and suppression of arbitrage opportunities
研究发现足球博彩市场中不同博彩公司的定价存在套利机会,但博彩公司的管理实践(如限制知情交易者)阻止了这些机会被实际利用。
We find that prices offered by competing bookmakers within the same quote-driven soccer (football) betting market provide arbitrage opportunities. However, the management practices of bookmakers prevent informed bettors exploiting these in practice. We identify two groups of bookmakers, ‘position-takers’ and ‘book-balancers’. Position-takers alter their odds infrequently, while actively restricting informed traders. Book-balancers actively manage inventory by adjusting odds, and place few restrictions on their customers. We identify 545 arbitrage portfolios, and find that around 50% would require a bet on the favourite at the position-taking bookmaker. The management practices of position-takers generally prevent these opportunities being exploited in practice.