动态信息获取的线性二次高斯方法

A linear-quadratic Gaussian approach to dynamic information acquisition

European Journal of Operational Research · 2018
被引 6
ABS 4

中文导读

研究了线性离散时间随机系统中动态信息获取的最优策略,发现系统临界性决定策略类型:次临界系统应保持噪声水平恒定,临界系统应一次性大幅降低噪声,超临界系统则不应获取信息。该结果应用于动态实现减排目标的问题。

Abstract

We consider optimal information acquisition for the control of linear discrete-time random systems with noisy observations and apply the findings to the problem of dynamically implementing emissions-reduction targets. The optimal policy, which is provided in closed form, depends on a single composite parameter which determines the criticality of the system. For subcritical systems, it is optimal to perform “noise leveling,” that is, to reduce the variance of the state uncertainty to an optimal level and keep it constant by a steady feed of information updates. For critical systems, the optimal policy is “noise attenuation,” that is, to substantially decrease the variance once and never acquire information thereafter. Finally for supercritical systems, information acquisition is never in the best interest of the decision maker. In each case, an explicit expression of the value function is obtained. The criticality of the system, and therefore the tradeoff between spending resources on the control or on information to improve the control, is influenced by a “policy parameter” which determines the importance a decision maker places on uncertainty reduction. The dependence of the system performance on the policy parameter is illustrated using a practical climate-control problem where a regulator imposes state-contingent taxes to probabilistically attain emissions targets.

最优控制随机控制信息经济学环境经济学动态决策