The Impacts of Paid Family Leave Benefits: Regression Kink Evidence from California Administrative Data
利用加州十年行政数据和回归扭结设计，研究发现对于收入接近最高福利门槛的女性，提高周福利金额并未延长休假时长或损害未来劳动力市场表现，反而增加了返回原雇主和再次申请带薪家事假的可能性。
Abstract We use 10 years of California administrative data with a regression kink design to estimate the causal impacts of benefits in the first state‐level paid family leave program for women with earnings near the maximum benefit threshold. We find no evidence that a higher weekly benefit amount (WBA) increases leave duration or leads to adverse future labor market outcomes for this group. In contrast, we document that a rise in the WBA leads to an increased likelihood of returning to the pre‐leave firm (conditional on any employment) and of making a subsequent paid family leave claim.