ECONOMICS: BETWEEN PREDICTION AND CRITICISM
提出经济分析的一种用途是批判推理，即指出论证的弱点，而不仅仅是提供预测。当理论需要解释时，预测与批判的角色会显著不同，并给出了一个形式模型来捕捉这些角色。
Abstract We suggest that one way in which economic analysis is useful is by offering a critique of reasoning. According to this view, economic theory may be useful not only by providing predictions, but also by pointing out weaknesses of arguments. It is argued that when a theory requires a nontrivial act of interpretation, its roles in producing predictions and offering critiques vary in a substantial way. We offer a formal model in which these different roles can be captured.