全球危机与民粹主义:欧元区制度的作用

Global crises and populism: the role of Eurozone institutions*

Economic Policy · 2018
被引 202
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究发现,当主流政党和现有制度未能有效应对经济冲击时,民粹主义政党更易获得支持;欧元区国家的制度约束加剧了这种效应,实证分析证实了该预测。

Abstract

SUMMARY Populist parties are likely to gain consensus when mainstream parties and status quo institutions fail to manage the shocks faced by their economies. Institutional constraints, which limit the possible actions in the face of shocks, result in poorer performance and frustration among voters who turn to populist movements. We rely on this logic to explain the different support of populist parties among European countries in response to the globalization shock and to the 2008–11 financial and sovereign debt crisis. We predict a greater success of populist parties in response to these shocks in Eurozone (EZ) countries, and our empirical analysis confirms this prediction. This is consistent with voters’ frustration for the greater inability of the EZ governments to react to difficult-to-manage globalization shocks and financial crises. Our evidence has implications for the speed of construction of political unions. A slow, staged process of political unification can expose the European Union to a risk of political backlash if hard to manage shocks hit the economies during the integration process.

全球危机民粹主义欧元区制度制度约束