The Probability to Reach an Agreement as a Foundation for Axiomatic Bargaining
重新审视纳什谈判模型，公理化了一个最大化成功谈判概率的程序解，涵盖纳什解、平等解和功利解等特例，并用概率语言解释了纳什解中乘积算子的含义。
We revisit the Nash bargaining model and axiomatize a procedural solution that maximizes the probability of successful bargaining. Our characterization spans several known solution concepts, including the special cases of the Nash, egalitarian, and utilitarian solutions. Using a probability‐based language, we offer a natural interpretation for the product operator underlying the Nash solution: when the bargainers' individual acceptance probabilities are independent, their product recovers the joint acceptance probability.