UNIFORM INFERENCE IN HIGH-DIMENSIONAL DYNAMIC PANEL DATA MODELS WITH APPROXIMATELY SPARSE FIXED EFFECTS
研究了高维固定效应动态面板数据模型中Lasso估计量的Oracle不等式,并提出了对模型参数进行统一有效推断的方法,构建了稳健于条件异方差的渐近协方差矩阵估计量。
We establish oracle inequalities for a version of the Lasso in high-dimensional fixed effects dynamic panel data models. The inequalities are valid for the coefficients of the dynamic and exogenous regressors. Separate oracle inequalities are derived for the fixed effects. Next, we show how one can conduct uniformly valid inference on the parameters of the model and construct a uniformly valid estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix which is robust to conditional heteroskedasticity in the error terms. Allowing for conditional heteroskedasticity is important in dynamic models as the conditional error variance may be nonconstant over time and depend on the covariates. Furthermore, our procedure allows for inference on high-dimensional subsets of the parameter vector of an increasing cardinality. We show that the confidence bands resulting from our procedure are asymptotically honest and contract at the optimal rate. This rate is different for the fixed effects than for the remaining parts of the parameter vector.