Choice, chance and inevitability in strategy
提出一个理论来管理战略选择、偶然与必然之间的紧张关系，通过梳理思想史中的相关论点，引入并辩护四个猜想，旨在构建一个哲学上可持续的战略选择理论，并综合相关辩论。
Abstract We propose a theory to manage the uneasy relation between strategic choice, chance, and determinism (or inevitability). To do so, we locate arguments in intellectual history that have a clear bearing on this relation. We introduce and defend four conjectures that outline the relationship between each of them and their comparative significance. The paper thus aims at achieving three objectives: (a) to articulate a philosophically sustainable theory of strategic choice that corroborates experience (without being induced by it); (b) to synthesize what remains one of the most sustained debates in strategy, namely the nature, role, and relation of choice, chance and determinism; and (c) to contribute to developing a foundation for multilevel research. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.