房地产繁荣-萧条周期与非对称宏观审慎政策

Housing Boom‐Bust Cycles and Asymmetric Macroprudential Policy

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2023
被引 6
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

论证了偶尔有约束力的借贷限制是非线性的来源,需要非对称宏观审慎政策来应对,相比对称规则,非对称规则能更有效降低产出和通胀尾部风险,并给货币政策带来正外部性。

Abstract

Abstract In this paper, I argue that occasionally binding borrowing constraints are a source of nonlinearity that warrant an appropriate nonlinear macroprudential policy response. Nonlinear policy responses likely better capture the spirit of macroprudential policy. I show that an asymmetric macroprudential policy rule, which lowers the borrowing limit more aggressively during credit booms, obtains better economic outcomes compared to an optimized symmetric rule that is typically studied in the literature. An asymmetric policy response reduces output and inflation tail risks, generating not only better economic stabilization but also positive externalities to monetary policy.

住房繁荣-萧条周期非对称宏观审慎政策信贷约束非线性政策规则