误解的成本:一般结果与行为应用

On the cost of misperception: General results and behavioral applications

Journal of Economic Theory · 2018
被引 11
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究在决策问题中,对收益相关参数的误解所导致的损失,并证明当个体能控制误差分布时,最小化误解损失的策略会出现系统性偏差,如控制幻觉、顺序效应等。

Abstract

In a choice model, we characterize the loss induced by misperceptions of payoff-relevant parameters across a distribution of decision problems. When the agent cannot avoid misperceptions but has some control over the distribution of errors, we show that strategies that minimize loss from misperception exhibit systematic biases, akin to some documented in the behavioral and psychological literatures. We include illusion of control, order effect, overprecision, and overweighting of small probabilities as illustrative examples.

误感知成本决策偏差行为经济学认知偏误