流动性陷阱中考虑政府债务的时间一致性管理

Time‐Consistent Management of a Liquidity Trap with Government Debt

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2021
被引 6
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究在名义利率触及零下限时,债务期限结构如何影响最优货币与财政政策,发现长期债券使政府应在低利率期暂时巩固债务,且长期债务水平随低利率可能性和债务期限增加。

Abstract

Abstract I show that debt maturity considerations affect the optimal conduct of monetary and fiscal policy in the presence of lower bound episodes. I consider a New Keynesian model where the lower bound on nominal interest rates binds occasionally. I study optimal monetary and fiscal policy under discretion, characterizing the strategic use of government debt as a tool to affect expectations of real interest rates and inflation. During lower bound episodes, the presence of long‐term bonds makes it optimal to temporarily consolidate debt. In addition, the long‐run level of debt increases with both the likelihood of reaching the lower bound and the maturity of debt.

流动性陷阱政府债务最优货币政策债务期限