资产泡沫与信贷约束

Asset Bubbles and Credit Constraints

American Economic Review · 2018
被引 174
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了生产经济中理性股票价格泡沫的形成机制,泡沫通过提高债务上限促进投资,但崩溃会导致经济衰退和股市崩盘。

Abstract

We provide a theory of rational stock price bubbles in production economies with infinitely-lived agents. Firms meet stochastic investment opportunities and face endogenous credit constraints. They are not fully committed to repaying debt. Credit constraints are derived from incentive constraints in optimal contracts which ensure default never occurs in equilibrium. Stock price bubbles can emerge through a positive feedback loop mechanism and cannot be ruled out by transversality conditions. These bubbles command a liquidity premium and raise investment by raising the debt limit. Their collapse leads to a recession and a stock market crash.

资产泡沫信贷约束流动性溢价债务上限