失业保险、召回预期与失业结果

Unemployment Insurance, Recall Expectations, and Unemployment Outcomes

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 1990
被引 1
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

实证研究美国失业中考虑临时解雇再雇佣过程的重要性,发现预期被召回者的失业时长占失业保险领取者失业的大部分,且召回与新工作的脱困率时间模式不同,受变量影响方向相反,并在福利到期时均大幅上升。

Abstract

This paper empirically examines the importance of explicitly accounting for the layoff-rehire process in the analysis of unemployment outcomes in the United States. We find that the spells of individuals' who initially expect to be recalled account for much more of the unemployment of unemployment insurance (UI) recipients than do spells actually ending in recall. Our results indicate that the recall and new job escape rates from unemployment have quite different time patterns and are often affected in opposite ways by explanatory variables. We also find that the probability of leaving unemployment both through recalls and new job finding increases greatly around the time that UI benefits lapse.

失业保险召回预期失业持续时间