Crime and Social Interactions
构建了一个社会互动模型,解释犯罪率在时间和空间上的高方差,发现社会互动对轻微犯罪影响最大,对谋杀和强奸几乎无影响。
The high variance of crime rates across time and space is one of the oldest puzzles in the social sciences; this variance appears too high to be explained by changes in the exogenous costs and benefits of crime. We present a model where social interactions create enough covariance across individuals to explain the high cross-city variance of crime rates. This model provides an index of social interac-tions which suggests that the amount of social interactions is highest in petty crimes, moderate in more serious crimes, and almost negligible in murder and rape. Quelquefois aussi le crime prend sa source dans l'esprit d'imitation, que l'homme possede 'a un haut degre et qu'il manifeste en toutes choses [A. Quetelet 1835]. I.