正反馈投资策略与破坏稳定的理性投机

Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation

Journal of Finance · 1990
被引 562 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

分析理性投机者在噪声交易者采用正反馈策略(追涨杀跌)时,可能提前买入以搭便车,从而加剧价格波动,而非稳定市场。

Abstract

Analyses of the role of rational speculators in financial markets usually presume that such investors dampen price fluctuations by trading against liquidity or noise traders. This conclusion does not necessarily hold when noise traders follow positive-feedback investment strategies buy when prices rise and sell when prices fall. In such cases, it may pay rational speculators to try to jump on the bandwagon early and to purchase ahead of noise trader demand. If rational speculators' attempts to jump on the bandwagon early trigger positive-feedback investment strategies, then an increase in the number of forward-looking rational speculators can lead to increased volatility of prices about fundamentals.

理性投机正反馈交易策略价格波动噪声交易者