合作还是竞争:马来西亚和新加坡港口的博弈论分析

TO COOPERATE OR TO COMPETE: A GAME THEORETIC ANALYSIS ON PORTS IN MALAYSIA AND SINGAPORE

Technological and Economic Development of Economy · 2018
被引 18
人大 A-

中文导读

用博弈论模型分析马来西亚和新加坡三大集装箱港口(新加坡港、巴生港、丹戎帕拉帕斯港)在亚欧航线上的竞争与合作策略,发现新加坡港与丹戎帕拉帕斯港结盟能提高整体盈利,而巴生港不宜与任何一方合作。

Abstract

The busiest container ports in the world are mostly situated in the Asian region, thus intensifying inter-port competition. Particularly unique in this region, is the shared history between Malaysia and Singapore, which was once ruled-under the British empire, has since become economic rivals for the Far East – Europe trade route. This provides a suitable context to investigate whether competition or a strategic alliance should be adopted for ports in terms of its benefit to the industry in the region as a whole. Specifically, this paper analyses the ocean freight traffic demand for the Far East-Europe route among three main transshipment ports located in Malaysia and Singapore: Port of Singapore (PSA), Port Klang (PKL), and Port of Tanjung Pelepas (PTP). The paper provides a scenario analysis of the 3-way interaction through a game theoretic model. The results suggest that a strategic alliance between PSA and PTP generates greater profitability to the current hub and spoke network, while PKL should not commit to any cooperative strategy with either PSA or PTP.

港口博弈战略联盟马六甲海峡集装箱港口竞争