Fiscal policy and monetary integration in Europe
检验了《马斯特里赫特条约》和《稳定与增长公约》是否削弱了欧盟国家实施稳定财政政策和提供公共基础设施的能力,利用1980-2002年数据估计财政规则,发现EMU国家的相机抉择财政政策反而变得更反周期,公共投资下降也是全球趋势的一部分。
A popular view among economists, policy-makers, and the media, is that the Maastricht Treaty and then Stability and Growth Pact have significantly impaired the ability of EU governments to conduct a stabilizing fiscal policy and to provide an adequate level of public infrastructure. In this Paper, we investigate this view by estimating fiscal rules for the discretionary budget deficit over the period 1980-2002, using data on EMU countries and control groups of non-EMU EU countries and other non-EU OECD countries. We do not find much support for this view. In fact, we find that discretionary fiscal policy in EMU countries has become more counter-cyclical over time, following what appears to be a trend that affects other industrialized countries as well. Similarly, we find that the decline in public investment experienced over the last decade by EMU countries is part of a worldwide trend that started well before the Maastricht Treaty was signed.