Shall We Riot Too? The Geographical Neighbor Impact on Political Instability
研究了邻国政治不稳定如何影响本国政治不稳定,利用邻国的邻国特征作为工具变量,发现邻国不稳定有显著正向影响,且邻国平均人口规模是重要中介因素。
Summary This paper investigates the impact of regional political instability on the political instability of a country. Our identification strategy relies on the spatial nature of international relations. We use the characteristics of the neighbors’ neighbors as the instruments for the neighbors’ political instability and regional dummies to control for common regional shocks. We show that political instability in neighboring countries has a strong positive impact on a given country's political instability. The average of neighbors’ population size appears to be a significant mediating factor behind this relationship.