协调与演化动态:演化模型何时可靠?

Coordination and evolutionary dynamics: When are evolutionary models reliable?

Games and Economic Behavior · 2018
被引 15
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

通过连续时间实验检验协调攻击者-防御者博弈中的演化模型,发现强协调激励下行为偏离均衡,而弱协调和零协调激励下行为聚集于均衡,表明非符号保持的演化模型更符合人类行为。

Abstract

This study reports a continuous-time experimental test of evolutionary models in coordinated attacker–defender games. It implements three experimental treatment conditions: one with strong coordination incentives, one with weak coordination incentives, and one with zero coordination incentives. Each treatment exhibits identical equilibrium predictions but distinct evolutionary predictions. Observed behavior was tightly clustered around equilibrium under both the zero coordination treatment and the weak coordination treatment but widely dispersed from equilibrium under the strong coordination treatment. This result was anticipated by explicitly dynamic models but not by conventional stability criteria. In contrast to the widely maintained assumption of sign-preservation, subjects frequently switched to lower earning strategies, suggesting that non-sign-preserving evolutionary models may provide a more accurate characterization of human behavior.

协调博弈演化动态实验检验非符号保持模型