Do Government Audits Reduce Corruption? Estimating the Impacts of Exposing Corrupt Politicians
研究巴西随机审计地方政府联邦资金使用的项目,发现过去被审计使未来腐败减少8%,同时后续法律行动可能性增加20%,表明审计通过增强非选举成本感知来降低腐败。
Political corruption is considered a major impediment to economic development, and yet it remains pervasive throughout the world. This paper examines the extent to which government audits of public resources can reduce corruption by enhancing political and judiciary accountability. We do so in the context of Brazil’s anti-corruption program, which randomly audits municipalities for their use of federal funds. We find that being audited in the past reduces future corruption by 8 percent, while also increasing the likelihood of experiencing a subsequent legal action by 20 percent. We interpret these reduced-form findings through a political agency model, which we structurally estimate. Based on our estimated model, the reduction in corruption comes mostly from the audits increasing the perceived threat of the non-electoral costs of engaging in corruption.