Brexit negotiations: From negotiation space to agreement zones
运用理性讨价还价模型和谈判文献,分析英国脱欧的各种选项并预测其后果,将结果情景定位在不同协议区间并探讨其影响,对关注脱欧进程的学者和政策制定者有参考价值。
Brexit is decidedly a “big question”. We agree with International Business scholars who say that such questions need to be addressed using an inter-disciplinary approach. We use bargaining theory models of rational behavior and the negotiation literature to explain various Brexit options and predict their consequences. Considering the lack of relevant experiential knowledge, and the multidimensional high-stakes negotiations underway, it is little wonder that anxiety is growing across all 28 European Union member states. Our analysis supports a coherent approach from rational bargaining model to real-life international negotiation. We position outcome scenarios in different agreement zones and explore their ramifications.