移民、资本流动与房价

Immigration, Capital Flows and Housing Prices

Real Estate Economics · 2018
被引 53
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究发现富裕移民会推高目的地社区的房价,利用加拿大投资移民项目意外暂停作为自然实验,发现暂停导致房价下降1.7%-2.6%,资本流入效应下限约5%。

Abstract

Abstract Research on immigration and real estate has found that immigrants lower house prices in immigrant destination neighborhoods. In this article, we find that this latter result is not globally true. Rather, we show that immigrants can raise neighborhood house prices, at least in the case of the wealthy immigrants that we study. We exploit a surprise suspension and subsequent closure of a popular investor immigration program in Canada to use a difference‐in‐differences methodology comparing wealthy immigrant destination census tracts to nondestination tracts. We find that the unexpected suspension of the program had a negative impact on house prices of 1.7–2.6% in the neighborhoods and market segments most favored by the investor immigrants. This leads to an approximate lower bound on the effect of capital inflows of 5%.

移民资本流入房价投资者移民项目