再分配与财政不确定性冲击

REDISTRIBUTION AND FISCAL UNCERTAINTY SHOCKS

International Economic Review · 2020
被引 7
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了财政不确定性冲击的影响,发现非资本持有者消费持续下降而资本持有者不受影响,引入有限资本市场参与模型可放大经济下滑并匹配宏观与家庭数据。

Abstract

Abstract This article studies the impact of fiscal uncertainty shocks. In micro data, noncapital holders reduce consumption persistently in response to an increase in fiscal uncertainty whereas capital holders do not. Motivated by this evidence, I introduce limited capital market participation and show that it magnifies the fall in economic activity due to a fiscal uncertainty shock and induces macroeconomic comovement. This is because the limited participation model captures individual uncertainty about redistribution. When agents are ambiguity averse, this uncertainty about redistribution has first‐order effects. As a result, the model successfully matches the empirical responses of macro and household variables.

财政不确定性冲击再分配有限资本市场参与模糊厌恶