需求驱动增长全程:Goodwin、Kaldor、Pasinetti与稳态

Demand drives growth all the way: Goodwin, Kaldor, Pasinetti and the Steady State

Cambridge Journal of Economics · 2018
被引 47
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

分析了一个需求驱动的增长模型,结合Goodwin周期、Pasinetti积累规则和Kaldor技术进步函数,给出稳态解并模拟美国数据,发现长期增长率约2%,资本家财富份额可能从40%升至70%。

Abstract

Abstract A demand-driven alternative to the conventional Solow–Swan growth model is analysed. Its medium run is built around Marx–Goodwin cycles of demand and distribution. Long-run income and wealth distributions follow rules of accumulation stated by Pasinetti in combination with a technical progress function for labour productivity growth incorporating a Kaldor effect and induced innovation. An explicit steady state solution is presented along with analysis of dynamics. When wage income of capitalist households is introduced, the Samuelson–Modigliani steady state ‘dual’ to Pasinetti’s cannot be stable. Numerical simulation loosely based on US data suggests that the long-run growth rate is around 2% per year and that the capitalist share of wealth may rise from about 40 to 70% due to positive medium-term feedback of higher wealth inequality into its own growth.

需求驱动增长马克思-古德温周期帕西内蒂稳态卡尔多技术进步函数