专家意见整合

Expert Resolution

Management Science · 1986
被引 63
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

讨论概率整合中的当前问题,作为对Morris(1983)关于专家意见整合的公理化方法的系列论文的引言,并比较了公理化与建模方法。

Abstract

This paper discusses some current issues in the combination of probabilities and serves as an introduction to a series of four papers and a rejoinder relating to a paper by Morris (Morris, P. A. 1983. An axiomatic approach to expert resolution. Management Sci. 29 24–32.) on an axiomatic approach to expert resolution. The axiomatic approach and the modeling approach to expert resolution are discussed, and some comments on practical issues are given.

专家意见聚合概率组合公理化方法建模方法