延迟退休对死亡率的影响:来自法国的证据

Impact of later retirement on mortality: Evidence from France

Health Economics · 2021
被引 38 · 同刊同年前 6%
人大 A-

中文导读

利用法国1993年私营部门养老金改革,研究延迟退休对61至79岁人群死亡率的影响,发现退休年龄增加一年对死亡概率无显著影响。

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of delaying retirement on mortality among the French population. We take advantage of the 1993 pension reform in the private sector to identify the causal effect of an increase in claiming age on mortality. We use administrative data which provide detailed information on career characteristics, dates of birth and death. Our results, precisely estimated, show that an exogenous increase of one year in the claiming age has no significant impact on the probability to die, measured between age 61 and 79, even when we allow for nonlinear effects of treatment intensity. To test the power of our sample to detect statistically significant effects for rare events like death, we compute minimum detectable effects (MDEs). Our MDE estimates suggest that, if an impact of later retirement on mortality would be detectable, it would remain very small in magnitude.

延迟退休死亡率法国年养老金改革