缓冲波动:储能投资与技术特定的可再生能源支持

Buffering volatility: Storage investments and technology-specific renewable energy support

Energy Economics · 2019
被引 52
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过模拟未来电力批发市场,发现最优可再生能源补贴应因技术而异,以减少弃电并避免昂贵储能投资,且储能的边际效益随存储时长增加而快速下降。

Abstract

Mitigating climate change will require integrating large amounts of highly intermittent renewable energy (RE) sources in future electricity markets. Considerable uncertainties exist about the cost and availability of future large-scale storage to alleviate the potential mismatch between demand and supply. This paper examines the suitability of regulatory (public policy) mechanisms for coping with the volatility induced by intermittent RE sources, using a numerical equilibrium model of a future wholesale electricity market. We find that the optimal RE subsidies are technology-specific reflecting the heterogeneous value for system integration. Differentiated RE subsidies reduce the curtailment of excess production, thereby preventing costly investments in energy storage. Using a simple cost-benefit framework, we show that a smart design of RE support policies significantly reduces the level of optimal storage. We further find that the marginal benefits of storage rapidly decrease for short-term (intra-day) storage and are small for long-term (seasonal) storage independent of the storage level. This suggests that storage is not likely to be the limiting factor for decarbonizing the electricity sector.

可再生能源补贴储能投资电力市场波动技术异质性