止赎外部性:我们是否混淆了治疗与疾病?

Foreclosure Externalities: Have We Confused the Cure with the Disease?

Real Estate Economics · 2019
被引 7
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究发现,止赎的原因(抵押贷款违约和负资产)本身就会压低周边房价,而止赎消除了这些问题,因此止赎更像是外部性的治疗而非病因。

Abstract

Abstract Foreclosure externalities, in which recent foreclosures proximate to a housing unit depress its sales price, are well accepted in the literature. Past research on foreclosure externalities implicitly assumes that both the partial and total derivatives of the outcome (house value) with respect to the treatment (foreclosure) are equal and constant. This article relaxes these assumptions about functional form. Results reported here show that the causes of foreclosure, mortgage delinquency and negative equity also lower nearby housing prices. Because foreclosure eliminates delinquency and negative equity, it appears to be the cure for the externality rather than the cause. Delay in the foreclosure process prolongs the externality problem and slows price recovery just as delay in application of a cure makes the disease worse. These results demonstrate that functional form matters in testing for overall effects of policy changes.

法拍房外部性抵押贷款违约负资产房价影响功能形式