加权时间效用

Weighted temporal utility

Economic Theory · 2017
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

提出加权时间效用模型,将结果的主观预期评价与风险及延迟带来的心理距离态度分离,并给出静态与动态设定下的刻画与非参数测量方法,有助于理解非平稳性、时间不一致等行为现象。

Abstract

This paper considers preferences over risky timed outcomes and proposes the weighted temporal utility (WTU) model which separates anticipated subjective evaluations of outcomes from attitudes toward psychological distance induced by risks and delays. Anticipating the subjective evaluation of an outcome requires the decision maker to project himself to the future and to imagine how much he will appreciate the outcome once he receives it. This projection may, but need not, be accurate. We provide a characterization of the WTU model in a static setting and propose a nonparametric method to measure its weighting and utility functions. We also consider a dynamic setting which allows for a varying decision time. The dynamic WTU model can accommodate the standard discounted expected utility model as well as observed deviations from stationarity, time invariance, and time consistency. It therefore enhances our understanding of the drivers of these behavioral phenomena.

加权时间效用风险时间偏好跨期决策非参数测量