Negative Interest Rate Policy and the Influence of Macro‐Economic News on Yields
研究了德国、日本、瑞典和瑞士在负利率政策期间,国内和美国宏观经济新闻对债券收益率的影响,发现其影响比零利率政策时期更弱或不存在。
Abstract We consider the influence of domestic and U.S. macro‐economic news surprises on daily bond yields over the January 1999 to January 2018 period for four advanced negative interest rate policy (NIRP) economies—Germany, Japan, Sweden, and Switzerland. Our results suggest that the influence of macro‐economic news surprises is for all four countries under study during the NIRP period nonexistent or noticeably weaker than during the preceding zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) period. Our results are consistent with the suggestion that NIRP is characterized by a lower bound that is no less constraining than the zero‐lower bound that characterizes ZIRP.