Deep Learning in Asset Pricing
用深度神经网络估计个股收益的资产定价模型,利用大量条件信息、保持完全灵活形式并考虑时变,通过无套利条件构造测试资产并提取经济状态,在夏普比率等指标上优于所有基准方法。
We use deep neural networks to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that takes advantage of the vast amount of conditioning information, keeps a fully flexible form, and accounts for time variation. The key innovations are to use the fundamental no-arbitrage condition as criterion function to construct the most informative test assets with an adversarial approach and to extract the states of the economy from many macroeconomic time series. Our asset pricing model outperforms out-of-sample all benchmark approaches in terms of Sharpe ratio, explained variation, and pricing errors and identifies the key factors that drive asset prices. This paper was accepted by Agostino Capponi, finance. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4695 .