预防中的理性去抑制与外部性

RATIONAL DISINHIBITION AND EXTERNALITIES IN PREVENTION

International Economic Review · 2019
被引 70 · 同刊同年前 2%
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究理性个体通过预防行为控制感染风险的模型,比较分散决策与社会最优结果,发现个体过度暴露导致疾病流行率偏高,并分析暴露前预防的福利效应。

Abstract

Abstract This article studies a model of disease propagation in which rational and forward‐looking individuals can control their exposure to infection by engaging in costly preventive behavior. Equilibrium outcomes under decentralized decision making are characterized and contrasted to the outcomes chosen by a social planner. In general, individuals overexpose themselves to infection, leading to suboptimally high disease prevalence. The model is applied to study the welfare effects of preexposure prophylaxis, which reduces transmission between serodiscordant couples and causes disinhibition. It is shown that a decrease in the induced infection risks increases disease prevalence and can lead to decreases in overall welfare.

理性去抑制预防外部性疾病传播模型预防行为