混合方法能否改善股权估值?对Ohlson和Johannesson(2016)模型的实证评估

Can a Hybrid Method Improve Equity Valuation? An Empirical Evaluation of the Ohlson and Johannesson (2016) Model

Accounting Review · 2019
被引 13
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

检验了混合估值模型的有效性,发现其内在价值比传统贴现模型或价格倍数模型更准确,且隐含权益成本能更好捕捉系统风险和预期收益。

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper investigates the validity and usefulness of “hybrid” valuation models. We recast the model in Ohlson and Johannesson (2016) as a hybrid of the Dividend Discount Model and an earnings-based price multiple model, and develop a new hybrid model that generalizes the Residual Income Valuation Model. After validating the theoretical properties of these models' unique parameters, we assess the usefulness of the hybrid models in two applications. In application one, we find that intrinsic values from the hybrid models are more accurate than those from common discounted models or price multiple models. These improvements are attributable to the hybrid models' ability to incorporate stock price and more realistic assumptions about growth. In application two, we find that the implied cost of equity from the hybrid models better captures systematic risks and key idiosyncratic risks, and captures expected returns. These results demonstrate the validity and usefulness of hybrid valuation models. JEL Classifications: G12; G14; G17; G31; M41. Data Availability: The data used are publicly available from the sources cited in the text.

混合估值模型权益估值内含权益成本