货币政策与理性资产价格泡沫:评论

Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price Bubbles: Comment

American Economic Review · 2019
被引 43
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

通过扩展模型纳入持续性泡沫冲击,发现最优货币政策下的泡沫稳态在适应性学习下不稳定,而围绕不稳定泡沫稳态的向前解支持逆风政策降低泡沫波动。

Abstract

We revisit Galí’s (2014 ) analysis by extending his model to incorporate persistent bubble shocks. We find that, under adaptive learning, a stable bubbly steady state and the associated sunspot solutions under optimal monetary policy are not E-stable. When deriving the unique forward-looking minimum stable variable (MSV ) solution around an unstable bubbly steady state, we obtain results that are consistent with the conventional views: leaning against the wind policy reduces bubble volatility and is optimal. Such a steady state and the associated MSV solution are E-stable.

货币政策理性资产价格泡沫适应性学习预期稳定性