地铁扩建是否改善了空气质量?

Does subway expansion improve air quality?

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management · 2019
被引 237 · 同刊同年前 5%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

利用北京2008-2016年14条新地铁线和252个车站的快速建设数据,研究发现地铁密度增加一个标准差使空气质量改善2%,20年健康效益达10-31亿美元。

Abstract

Major cities in China and many other fast-growing economies are expanding their subway systems in order to address worsening air pollution and traffic congestion. This paper quantifies the impact of subway expansion on air quality by leveraging fine-scale air quality data and the rapid build-out of 14 new subway lines and 252 stations in Beijing from 2008 to 2016. Our main empirical framework examines how the density of the subway network affects air quality across different locations in the city during this period. To address the potential endogenous location of subway stations, we construct an instrument based on historical subway planning, long before air pollution and traffic congestion were of concern. Our analysis shows that an increase in subway density by one standard deviation improves air quality by two percent and the result is robust to a variety of alternative specifications including the distance-based difference-in-differences method. The total discounted health benefit during a 20-year period from reduced mortality and morbidity as a result of 14 new subway lines amounts to $1.0–3.1 billion, or only 1.4–4.4 percent of the total construction and operating cost.

地铁扩张空气质量工具变量健康效益