网络干扰下的政策目标定位

Policy Targeting under Network Interference

Review of Economic Studies · 2024
被引 13
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究在存在溢出效应时如何最优分配处理,提出一种半参数福利估计方法,通过混合整数线性规划求解,无需目标群体网络信息,适用于政策制定者。

Abstract

Abstract This article studies the problem of optimally allocating treatments in the presence of spillover effects, using information from a (quasi-)experiment. I introduce a method that maximizes the sample analogue of average social welfare when spillovers occur. I construct semi-parametric welfare estimators with known and unknown propensity scores and cast the optimization problem into a mixed-integer linear program, which can be solved using off-the-shelf algorithms. I derive a strong set of guarantees on regret, i.e. the difference between the maximum attainable welfare and the welfare evaluated at the estimated policy. The proposed method presents attractive features for applications: (i) it does not require network information of the target population; (ii) it exploits heterogeneity in treatment effects for targeting individuals; (iii) it does not rely on the correct specification of a particular structural model; and (iv) it accommodates constraints on the policy function. An application for targeting information on social networks illustrates the advantages of the method.

网络干扰政策目标溢出效应社会福利最大化