不完全信息下基于排序范围的多属性决策方法及其在风险投资评估中的应用

RANKING RANGE BASED APPROACH TO MADM UNDER INCOMPLETE CONTEXT AND ITS APPLICATION IN VENTURE INVESTMENT EVALUATION

Technological and Economic Development of Economy · 2019
被引 111 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 A-

中文导读

针对属性权重未知或不完全的多属性决策问题,提出基于排序范围的新方法,通过优化模型和蒙特卡洛模拟生成各方案的排序范围,并考虑决策者风险态度,在风险投资评估案例中验证有效性。

Abstract

In real-world Multiple Attribute Decision Making (MADM) problem, the attribute weights information may be unknown or partially known. Several approaches have been suggested to address this kind of incomplete MADM problem. However, these approaches depend on the determination of attribute weights, and setting different attribute weight vectors may result in different ranking positions of alternatives. To deal with this issue, this paper develops a novel MADM approach: the ranking range based MADM approach. In the novel MADM approach, the minimum and maximum ranking positions of every alternative are generated using several optimization models, and the average ranking position of every alternative is produced applying the Monte Carlo simulation method. Then, the minimum, maximum and average ranking positions of the alternative are integrated into a new ranking position of the alternative. This novel approach is capable of dealing with venture investment evaluation problems. However, in the venture investment evaluation process, decision makers will present different risk attitudes. To deal with this issue, two ranking range based MADM approaches with risk attitudes are further designed. A case study and a simulation experiment are presented to show the validity of the proposal.

多属性决策不完全信息排序范围风险态度风险投资评价