金融危机、信用评级与银行倒闭:新兴市场的不稳定性——主权评级是否影响国家风险和股票回报?

Financial crises, credit ratings, and bank failures : emerging market instability - do sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns?

World Bank Economic Review · 2002
被引 134
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了主权债务评级和展望变化如何影响新兴经济体的债券和股票市场,发现评级变化在危机期间影响更强,且评级机构可能加剧市场不稳定。

Abstract

Changes in sovereign debt ratings and outlooks affect financial markets in emerging economies. They affect not only the instrument being rated (bonds) but also stocks. They directly impact the markets of the countries rated and generate cross country contagion. The effects of rating and outlook changes are stronger during crises, in nontransparent economies, and in neighboring countries. Upgrades tend to take place during market rallies, whereas downgrades occur during downturns, providing support to the idea that credit rating agencies contribute to the instability in emerging financial markets.

主权信用评级新兴市场股票收益金融传染