Endogenous Infrastructure Development and Spatial Takeoff in the First Industrial Revolution
构建了一个模型，研究交通部门演变与农业和制造业贸易及产出增长的关系，模拟1710-1881年英格兰和威尔士的历史数据，通过反事实分析揭示基础设施建设的时机和空间分布对工业起飞时间的影响。
This paper develops a model in which the evolution of the transport sector occurs alongside the growth in trade and output of agricultural and manufacturing firms. Simulation output captures aspects of the historical record of England and Wales over 1710–1881. A number of counterfactuals demonstrate the role that the timing and spatial distribution of infrastructure development play in determining the timing of takeoff. There can be a role for policy in accelerating takeoff through improving infrastructure, but the spatial distribution of that improvement matters.