内生进入竞赛中的信息披露:一项实验研究

Information Disclosure in Contests with Endogenous Entry: An Experiment

Management Science · 2020
被引 21
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

通过实验室实验研究在参与者自主决定是否进入的竞赛中,披露活跃参与者数量对投资决策的影响,发现披露在高外部选择权时显著增加总投资,而低外部选择权时无影响。

Abstract

We use a laboratory experiment to study the effects of disclosing the number of active participants in contests with endogenous entry. At the first stage, potential participants decide whether to enter competition, and at the second stage, entrants choose their investments. In a 2[Formula: see text]2 design, we manipulate the size of the outside option, [Formula: see text], and whether the number of entrants is disclosed between the stages. Theory predicts more entry for lower [Formula: see text] and the levels of entry and aggregate investment to be independent of disclosure in all cases. We find empirical entry frequencies decreasing with [Formula: see text]. For aggregate investment, we find no effect of disclosure when [Formula: see text] is low but a strong positive effect of disclosure when [Formula: see text] is high. The difference is driven by substantial overinvestment in contests with a small, publicly known number of players contrasted by more restrained investment in contests in which the number of players is uncertain and may be small. The behavior under disclosure is explained by a combination of joy of winning and entry regret. This paper was accepted by Yan Chen, decision analysis.

竞赛信息披露内生进入实验经济学投资决策