衰退即将来临吗?收益率曲线的信号

Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield curve

Econometric Reviews · 2019
被引 7
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

历史上衰退前总出现收益率曲线倒挂,本文探讨近期美国收益率曲线趋平是否值得担忧。

Abstract

Historically, recessions have always been preceded by yield curve inversions. Is the recent flattening of the US yield curve a cause for concern?

收益率曲线倒挂经济衰退预测美国国债