制度、波动性与投资

Institutions, Volatility, and Investment

Journal of the European Economic Association · 2017
被引 1
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究发现,强行政约束国家增长波动更低,但平均增长相似。通过荷兰行业投资数据和经济模型,解释了行政约束如何通过降低生产率增长波动来吸引外资流入。

Abstract

Countries with strong executive constraints have lower growth volatility but similar average growth to those with weak constraints. This paper argues that this may explain the relationship between executive constraints and inflows of foreign investment. It uses a novel dataset of Dutch sector-level investments between 1983 and 2012 to explore this issue. It formulates an economic model of investment and uses data on the mean and variance of productivity growth to explain the relationship between investment inflows and executive constraints. The model can account for the aggregate change in inflows when strong executive constraints are adopted in terms of the reduction in the volatility in productivity growth. The data and model together suggest a natural way of thinking about country-level heterogeneity in investment inflows following the adoption of strong executive constraints.

行政约束增长波动投资流入生产率波动