约束多项式似然

Constrained Polynomial Likelihood

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2024
被引 2
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种非负多项式最小范数似然比方法,仅利用矩信息估计两个分布的密度比,并允许施加形状约束,应用于跳跃扩散过程转移密度估计和期权价格隐含正密度提取。

Abstract

We develop a nonnegative polynomial minimum-norm likelihood ratio (PLR) of two distributions of which only moments are known. The sample PLR converges to the unknown population PLR under mild conditions. The methodology allows for additional shape restrictions, as we illustrate with two empirical applications. The first develops a PLR for the unknown transition density of a jump-diffusion process, while the second extracts a positive density directly from option prices. In both cases, we show the importance of implementing the non-negativity restriction.

多项式似然比非负约束矩条件跳跃扩散过程